RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTATE MARKET IN RUSSIA: STRUCTURE AND CYCLICITY OF DEVELOPMENT

  • V.N. Berdnikova IMSIT Academy, Krasnodar, Russia

Abstract

Conducting a structural analysis of the real estate market is important for participants. It allows an investor, buyer, seller, or other participant to determine the phase of development of the real estate market. Analysis provides an additional tool for making the optimal decision now and in the future, which means that the problem is relevant. The purpose of the study was to identify the main market structures for the primary and secondary housing market, as well as to identify their relationship with the cyclical development of the market. The objectives of the study were to study the experience of domestic scientists, to determine market structures and cycles in the development of various segments of the residential real estate market. There was also an analysis of statistical data in physical and monetary terms, a description of the dynamics of the housing market over a twenty-year period by regions of Russia, Kazakhstan, and the Republic of Belarus. The methods of detailing, generalization, logical inferences, and graphical visualization of data were used in the article. The study revealed a typical market structure for the primary and secondary segments of the housing market, and established a link between the phase of market development and the market structure. The primary residential real estate market is characterized by elements of perfect competition, while the secondary real estate market is characterized by monopolistic competition. Cyclicity in the development of the real estate market is reflected in the type of structure and there is a decrease in the level of competitiveness.

Keywords: secondary real estate market, primary real estate market, market structure, housing price, market development cycle

 References

Panteleeva M.S. Analysis of the New Industry Markets Characteristics in the Digitalized Economy // Financial Economy. 2020. Vol. 2. Pp. 316-318. (In Russ.).

Turgel I.D., Pridvizhkin S.V. Rynok nedvizhimosti kak slozhnaya prostranstvennaya sistema: teoriya i metodologiya analiza [Real Estate Market as a Complex Spatial System: Theory and Methodology of Analysis] // Regional Economics: Theory and Practice. 2006. Vol. 4(6-33). Pp. 22-31. (In Russ.).

Vlasenko T.V., Belokobylenko S.A. Rynok nedvizhimosti i ego struktura [Real Estate Market and its Structure] // Economy and Ecology of Territorial Formations. 2015. Vol. 1. Pp. 7-20. (In Russ.).

Dianov D.V., Smelov P.A. Development of Statistical Classifications to Study the Content and Structure of the Primary Real Estate Market // Statistics and Economics. 2019. Vol. 16(2). Pp. 4-14. (In Russ.). DOI:21686/2500-3925-2019-2-4-14.

Berdnikova V.N., Ternushchenko V.A., Pylaeva Yu.M. Real Estate Market Condition: Where will the Demand Curve go? // Herald of the Belgorod University of Cooperation, Economics and Law. 2022. Vol. 4(95). Pp. 73-82. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.21295/2223-5639-2022-4-73-82.

Polkhovskaya T.Yu. Real estate market cycles, prices and investment decisions // Online journal Naukovedenie. 2016. Vol. 8(6-37). P. 154. (In Russ.).

Sternik G.M., Krasnopolskaya A.N. Neperiodicheskoe razlozhenie cenovoj dinamiki rynka zhil'ya Moskvy [Non-periodic Decomposition of Price Dynamics of the Moscow Housing Market] // Economics of Contemporary Russia. 2008. Vol. 3(42). Pp. 110-115. (In Russ.).

MalkinаYu., Shchulepnikova E.A. Analysis of the Type of Residential Real Estate Market Structure // Vestnik of Lobachevsky University of Nizhni Novgorod. 2012. Vol. 4(1). Pp. 313-319. (In Russ.).

Ovsyannikova T.Yu., Yugova I.V. The Competitive Environment on the Housing Market: Features and Trends // Tomsk State University Journal of Economics. 2012. Vol. 1(17). Pp. 187-193. (In Russ.).

Morshchinina N.I., Nekhaichuk D.V. Real Estate Market as a Model of the Modern Ecosystem / Sevastopol: Publishing house "Pero", 2022. 236 p. (In Russ.).

Indeks konkurentosposobnosti stroitel'noj otrasli [Construction Industry Competitiveness Index] (2022). RABC. (In Russ.). URL: https://rask.ru/ikso/rezultaty.php (accessed on 01.09.2023).

Borovskikh N.V. Cyclicity of Developing the Regional Real Estate Market // Almanac of Modern Science and Education. 2016. Vol. 7(109). Pp. 24-26. (In Russ.).

Berdnikova V.N., Koplik S.S. Prices on Primary and Secondary Market: Relationship and Development Trends // Economy and Entrepreneurship. 2016. Vol. 11(3-76). Pp. 984-988. (In Russ.).

Grishina N.A. Characteristic of Real Estate Cycles / Sovremennye problemy ekonomicheskogo razvitiya predpriyatij, otraslej, kompleksov, territorij: Materialy Mezhdunarodnoj nauchno-prakticheskoj konferencii [Modern Problems of Economic Development of Enterprises, Industries, Complexes, Territories: Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference], Khabarovsk, April 30, 2021. Khabarovsk: Pacific National University, 2021. Pp. 202-206. (In Russ.).

Pechenkina V.V., Ivanova E.A. Analiz ciklichnosti rynka zhiloj nedvizhimosti [Analysis of the Cyclicality of the Residential Real Estate Market] // Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice. 2011. Vol. 10(5-212). Pp. 24-30. (In Russ.).

Sternik G.M., Sternik S.G. Typology of Real Estate Markets for Education Tendency Price Bubbles // Property Relations in the Russian Federation. 2009. Vol. 8(95). Pp. 31-53. (In Russ.).

Stroitel'stvo [Construction] (2023). Federal State Statistics Service. (In Russ.). URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru/folder/14458 (accessed on 11.09.2023).

Solovyova E.V., Berdnikova V.N. Identification and Scale of the Development of a Price Bubble in the Housing Market // Proceedings of the Southwest State University. Series: Economy. Sociology. Management. 2022. Vol. 12(1). Pp. 137-149. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.21869/2223-1552-2022-12-1-137-149.

Srednie ceny 1 kv. m. obshchej ploshchadi kvartir na pervichnom i vtorichnom rynkah zhil'ya po Rossijskoj Federacii i sub"ektam Rossijskoj Federacii [Average Prices of 1 sq. m. of Total Floor Area of Apartments in the Primary and Secondary Housing Markets in the Russian Federation and Constituent Entities of the Russian Federation] (2023). Federal State Statistics Service. (In Russ.). URL: http://bi.gks.ru/biportal/contourbi.jsp?allsol=1&solution=Dashboard&project=%2FDashboard%2Fhousing_market_price_statistics (accessed on 25.10.2023).

Ceny na rynke zhil'ya [Prices in the Housing Market] (2023). Federal State Statistics Service. (In Russ.). URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru/statistics/price (accessed on 15.09.2023).

Statistika (2023). Sberindeks. (In Russ.). URL: https://sberindex.ru/ru/dashboards?partition=7 (accessed on 09.15.2023).

Kak izmenilsya rynok zhil'ya v Kazahstane za 20 let [How the Housing Market in Kazakhstan has Changed over 20 Years] (2021). NURKZ. (In Russ.). URL: https://www.nur.kz/nurfin/economy/1907627-kak-izmenilsya-rynok-zhilya-v-kazahstane-za-20-let/?ysclid=lo2y7w0b3c740913125 (accessed on 15.09.2023).

price_year_house_index_2022 (2022). Belstat. (In Russ.). URL: https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.belstat.gov.by%2Fupload-belstat%2Fupload-belstat-excel%2FOficial_statistika%2F2022%2Fprice_year_house_index_2022.xls&wdOrigin=BROWSELINK (accessed on 15.09.2023).

Ulasenka M. Real Estate Market as a Factor of the Country’s Financial Stability // Bank Bulletin Journal. 2019. Vol. 9(674). Pp. 12-22. (In Russ.).

Mambetova S.Sh., Shokhan R., Onayeva B.T., Abaidilda A.E. Housing Market in the Republic of Kazakhstan: Current State and Development Prospects // Bulletin of Karaganda University. Economy Series. 2017. Vol. 88(4). Pp. 61-67.

About the Author

Valentina N. Berdnikova – Cand. Sci. (Economics), Docent; Associate Professor, IMSIT Academy, Krasnodar, Russia. E-mail: wkoshman@rambler.ru . SPINРИНЦ 5854-6298. ORCID 0000-0002-9842-8368

For citation: Berdnikova V.N. Residential Real Estate Market in Russia: Structure and Cyclicity of Development // Beneficium. 2024. Vol. 1(50). Pp. 31-39. (In Russ.). DOI: 10.34680/BENEFICIUM.2024.1(50).31-39

Published
2024-03-29
Section
TRANSFORMATION OF SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC SYSTEM